Deadlock / Balance intelligence

Deadlock Warden

Warden stats, build items and patch history. Balance changes have receipts here.

Win rate

46.64%

Wins ÷ observed selections

Pick share

1.11%

Share of all hero selections

Observed selections

260,079

30 complete UTC days

Next nerf odds · estimate

4%

Uncalibrated entertainment model

Sample: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-16 UTC · Normal mode, ranked + unranked, all ranks. Retrieved . Deadlock API. Observed matches only; not the entire player population. Refreshes hourly; upstream item statistics may be cached for six hours.

Daily performance

Warden win-rate trend

0–100%09-17 → 10-16
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
Read chart data
  • 09-17: 49.32% · 2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-18: 48.20% · 2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-19: 47.25% · 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-20: 48.39% · 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-21: 48.36% · 2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-22: 48.10% · 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-23: 47.01% · 2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-24: 48.22% · 2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-25: 47.42% · 2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-26: 48.11% · 2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-27: 48.30% · 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-28: 47.54% · 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-29: 47.37% · 2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-30: 45.37% · 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-01: 46.02% · 2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-02: 45.10% · 2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-03: 44.50% · 2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-04: 44.90% · 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-05: 45.35% · 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-06: 45.82% · 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-07: 45.55% · 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-08: 45.74% · 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-09: 45.44% · 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-10: 45.20% · 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-11: 46.40% · 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-12: 46.64% · 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-13: 46.52% · 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-14: 46.60% · 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-15: 46.88% · 2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-16: 45.61% · 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z

Source: Deadlock API · hero-stats, UTC day

Estimate, not insider information

Will Warden get nerfed?

Our next-balance-patch estimate increases with above-average win rate and pick share. It has not been calibrated against historical nerfs and is not a reliable forecast of Valve’s decisions.

z = −2.2 + 0.35 × (win% − 50) + 0.08 × pick share%
estimate = round(100 ÷ (1 + exp(−z)))

Inputs: win 46.64%, pick share 1.11%. Minimum 1,000 observations; otherwise no reading. Patch history below is evidence, not an input to the estimate.

Build research

Warden build items

Most observed item purchases on Warden, not a recommended purchase order. Item win rates are affected by game length, upgrade paths and who can afford the item.

ItemWin rateObservations
Quicksilver Reload46.90%236,372
Titanic Magazine47.02%218,654
Opening Rounds46.98%215,560
High-Velocity Rounds46.83%213,621
Mercurial Magnum48.51%209,881
Enduring Speed47.74%175,503
Extended Magazine47.19%169,977
Fleetfoot47.93%165,277

The paper trail

Warden patch history

Every explicitly attributed change found in the 26 available archive entries. This is the available archive, not a claim of complete lifetime coverage. Linked-only announcements may omit change text.

Minor Update - 09-16-2026

  • - Warden: Bullet damage per boon reduced from 0.28 to 0.25
  • - Warden: Fire Rate spirit scaling reduced from 0.25 to 0.21
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask projectile range and speed reduced by 30%
  • - Warden: Willpower T3 spirit scaling reduced from +2.7 to +2.1
  • - Warden: Willpower T3 debuff resistance reduced from 40% to 30%
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 06-11-2026

  • - Warden: Bullet falloff reduced from 20m->58m to 18m->47m
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask spirit scaling reduced from 0.73 to 0.63
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T2 reduced from +40 Damage to +35
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T2 increased from -20% Weapon Damage to -25%
  • - Warden: Willpower spirit scaling increased from +0.5 to +0.8
  • - Warden: Binding Word T3 reduced from -18s Cooldown to -14s
  • - Warden: Last Stand lifesteal increased from 65% to 75%
  • - Warden: Last Stand T2 increased from -30s Cooldown to -35s
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 increased from +3s Duration to +4s
Original patch source ↗

Gameplay Update - 05-22-2026

  • - Warden: Bullet damage per boon reduced from 0.38 to 0.34
  • - Warden: Willpower T3 debuff resistance now retroactively applies to existing debuffs when cast
  • - Warden: Binding Word T2 no longer increases cast range by +12m
Original patch source ↗

Gameplay Update - 03-06-2026

  • - Warden: Bullet growth per boon reduced from 0.44 to 0.38
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask Weapon Damage reduction reduced from -30% to -25%
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T2 damage increased from +36 to +40
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T2 now also increases Weapon Damage Reduction by -20%
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T2 no longer increases radius by 1m
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T3 cooldown increased from -6.5s to -7s
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T3 now also increases radius by 2m
  • - Warden: Willpower duration reduced from 7s to 5s
  • - Warden: Willpower cooldown reduced from 42s to 40
  • - Warden: Willpower barrier now scales with spirit power in the base ability (+0.5)
  • - Warden: Willpower T2 cooldown from -19s to -22s
  • - Warden: Willpower T2 now also increases duration by +2s
  • - Warden: Willpower T3 changed from "+150 Barrier Health and improved scaling (3.7)" to "+40% Debuff Resistance and improved scaling (2.5)"
  • - Warden: Binding Word cast range reduced from 20m to 15m
  • - Warden: Binding Word cooldown decreased from 37s to 34s
  • - Warden: Binding Word T1 changed from "+1s Immobilize Duration" to "+20% Bullet Damage to Trapped heroes for 5s"
  • - Warden: Binding Word T2 changed from "-19s Cooldown" to "+0.75s Duration and +12m Cast Range"
  • - Warden: Binding Word T2 now increases trap duration by 0.75s
  • - Warden: Binding Word T3 changed from "+20% Bullet Damage" to "-18s Cooldown and Silences enemies until they escape or are trapped"
  • - Warden: Last Stand Channeling bullet and spirit resist increased from 30% to 60%
  • - Warden: Last Stand radius reduced from 13m to 12m
  • - Warden: Last Stand T1 increased from +3m Radius to +4m
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 no longer grants +50% Bullet and Spirit Resist
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 duration increased from +2.5s to +3s
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 now also grants you Unstoppable while channeling
  • - Warden: Last Stand Bullet and Spirit Resist while channeling reduced from 60% to 50%
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 now also increases Bullet and Spirit Resist while channeling by +30%
Original patch source ↗

11-21-2025 Update

  • - Warden: Bullet damage increased from 16.2 to 16.6
  • - Warden: Bullet damage growth increased from 0.44 to 0.48
  • - Warden: Health regen reduced from 3 to 2
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask radius reduced from 6.5m to 5.5m
  • - Warden: Alchemical Flask T2 now also grants +1m
Original patch source ↗

12-06-2024 Update

  • - Warden: Fire Rate Spirit Power scaling reduced from 0.25 to 0.22.
  • - Warden: Last Stand Resistance reduced from 60% to 30%.
  • - Warden: Last Stand now only goes on cooldown for 20s when interrupted rather than full.
  • - Warden: Last Stand T2 now also reduces cooldown by 35s.
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 changed from "-56s Cooldown" to "+50% Bullet and Spirit Resistance During Channel and +2.5s Duration."
Original patch source ↗

11-07-2024 Update

  • - Warden: Now has +1 Sprint.
  • - Warden: Bullet Velocity increased from 213 to 290.
  • - Warden: Last Stand now goes on cooldown if you die or the ability is interrupted while cast.
  • - Warden: Last Stand T3 no longer grants unstoppable during channel.
  • - Warden: Last Stand now grants +50% Spirit Resist during channel.
Original patch source ↗