Deadlock / Balance intelligence

Deadlock Shiv

Shiv stats, build items and patch history. Balance changes have receipts here.

Win rate

44.73%

Wins ÷ observed selections

Pick share

2.51%

Share of all hero selections

Observed selections

591,756

30 complete UTC days

Next nerf odds · estimate

2%

Uncalibrated entertainment model

Sample: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-16 UTC · Normal mode, ranked + unranked, all ranks. Retrieved . Deadlock API. Observed matches only; not the entire player population. Refreshes hourly; upstream item statistics may be cached for six hours.

Daily performance

Shiv win-rate trend

0–100%09-17 → 10-17
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
Read chart data
  • 09-17: 47.38% · 2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-18: 47.13% · 2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-19: 47.42% · 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-20: 47.25% · 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-21: 46.53% · 2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-22: 44.90% · 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-23: 43.90% · 2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-24: 44.85% · 2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-25: 44.99% · 2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-26: 46.03% · 2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-27: 46.03% · 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-28: 46.07% · 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-29: 45.70% · 2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-30: 45.74% · 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-01: 45.97% · 2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-02: 44.83% · 2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-03: 41.33% · 2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-04: 40.69% · 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-05: 40.26% · 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-06: 45.36% · 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-07: 44.66% · 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-08: 44.41% · 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-09: 43.76% · 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-10: 43.64% · 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-11: 43.21% · 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-12: 43.43% · 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-13: 44.09% · 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-14: 44.92% · 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-15: 44.96% · 2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-16: 44.54% · 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-17: 0.00% · 2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z

Source: Deadlock API · hero-stats, UTC day

Estimate, not insider information

Will Shiv get nerfed?

Our next-balance-patch estimate increases with above-average win rate and pick share. It has not been calibrated against historical nerfs and is not a reliable forecast of Valve’s decisions.

z = −2.2 + 0.35 × (win% − 50) + 0.08 × pick share%
estimate = round(100 ÷ (1 + exp(−z)))

Inputs: win 44.73%, pick share 2.51%. Minimum 1,000 observations; otherwise no reading. Patch history below is evidence, not an input to the estimate.

Build research

Shiv build items

Most observed item purchases on Shiv, not a recommended purchase order. Item win rates are affected by game length, upgrade paths and who can afford the item.

ItemWin rateObservations
Radiant Regeneration45.03%559,177
Mystic Regeneration44.84%549,840
Healbane45.64%379,397
Extra Charge45.31%326,580
Restorative Shot43.73%304,637
Dispel Magic46.07%294,280
Extra Regen45.47%281,466
Mystic Vulnerability46.40%280,481

The paper trail

Shiv patch history

Every explicitly attributed change found in the 26 available archive entries. This is the available archive, not a claim of complete lifetime coverage. Linked-only announcements may omit change text.

Minor Update - 09-16-2026

  • - Shiv: Alt fire base damage increased by 4%
  • - Shiv: Alt fire damage per boon increased from +0.2 to +0.24
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives while rage is full now deals 3.5% current HP damage on impact instead of ricocheting (0.01 spirit scaling)
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 07-09-2026

  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives T3 spirit scaling reduced from +0.09 to +0.07
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice spirit scaling reduced from 1.44 to 1.2
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice T2 reduced from -6% Spirit Resist to -4%
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting cooldown increased from 20s to 25s
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting T1 increased from -10s Cooldown to -15s
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting Damage Cleared reduced from 35% to 30%
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting T2 Damage Cleared increased from 35% to 40%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow Health Threshold reduced from 20% to 18%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T3 Health Threshold increased from +8% to +10%
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 07-01-2026

  • - Shiv: Alt Fire ammo cost reduced from 5 to 4
  • - Shiv: Weapon now has fixed pellet spread
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice is now back to doing spirit damage and reducing Spirit Resistance from enemies
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice damage increased from 60 to 75
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T3 reduced from +10% Enemy Health Threshold to +8%
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 06-30-2026

  • - Shiv: Alt Fire damage now has a custom value per boon (+0.2)
  • - Shiv: Alt Fire ammo consumed per shot increased from 3 to 5
  • - Shiv: Alt Fire knockback movement is now disabled by slowing hex state
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives cooldown reduced from 18s to 16s
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice now deals +25 light melee damage (75 total) instead of 60 spirit damage
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice changed from -6% Spirit Resist to +4% Damage Amp
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting T2 changed from "+15% Incoming Damage Deferred" to "+35% Deferred Damage Cleared"
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting T3 changed from "+50% Deferred Damage Cleared" to "+15% Incoming Damage Deferred"
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow now deals damage to troopers and neutrals along the way
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow executing a hero now instantly fills the rage bar
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow now has the T3 "recast within 20s on a hero kill" as part of the base ability
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow Full Rage Damage Bonus reduced from +12% to +8%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow range reduced from 18m to 12m
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T1 now also increases range by +6m
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T2 increased from +10% Full Rage Bonus Damage to +16%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T3 increased from +5% Enemy health Threshold to +10%
Original patch source ↗

Gameplay Update - 05-22-2026

  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice T2 reduced from -8% Spirit Resist to -6%
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting Deferred Damage Cleared reduced from 40% to 35%
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting T3 increased from +45% Deferred Damage Cleared to +50%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow cooldown increased from 105s to 125s
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow full rage damage bonus reduced from 14% to 12%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T2 increased from +8% Full Rage Damage Bonus to +10%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T2 now also reduces cooldown by -30s
Original patch source ↗

Gameplay Update - 03-06-2026

  • - Shiv: Stamina reduced from 3 to 2
  • - Shiv: Stamina movement speed reduced from 6.7 to 6.5
  • - Shiv: Bullet damage growth increased from 0.154 to 0.165
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives no longer has impact damage
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives Bleed DPS per knife increased from 4 to 10
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives Bleed DPS spirit scaling increased from 0.13 to 0.15
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives T1 changed from "+1 Charge" to "+2s Duration"
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives T2 changed from "+2s Duration" to "+2 Charges"
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives T3 no longer has +30 Impact Damage
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives T3 DPS increased from +5.5 to +12
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives T3 increases spirit scaling by +0.10
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice cooldown increased from 15s to 16s
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice Impact damage reduced from 75 to 60
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice reduces Spirit Resistance by 6% for 16s. Multiple instances stack.
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice T1 increased from -3s Cooldown to -6s Cooldown
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice T2 changed from "+50 Impact Damage" to "-8% Spirit Resistance and +2m Dash Range"
  • - Shiv: Slice and Dice T3 now also grants +50 Impact Damage
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow is no longer unit targeted, you jump in the direction forward with some small control
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow Damage Amp reduced from 15% to 14%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T2 changed from "+5% Enemy Health Threshold and +6% Damage Amp" to "+8% Damage Amp"
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T3 now grants you 20s to recast the ultimate, rather than removing the cooldown
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T3 now also increases enemy health threshold by +5%
  • - Shiv: Alt fire knockback increased by 10%
  • - Shiv: Serrated Knives cooldown increased from 16s to 18s
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow range increased from 13m to 18m
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow travel speed increased a bit
  • - Shiv: Stamina increased from 2 to 3
  • - Shiv: Stamina cooldown increased from 4.5s to 5.5s
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting no longer interrupts sliding when cast
  • - Shiv: Bloodletting is now affected by healing modifiers
  • - Shiv: Fixed a bug with Killing Blow T3 causing the cooldown to be delayed if you failed to execute during the allowed window
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow now continues forward (and dealing damage) until it reaches a target it can kill or runs out of range
Original patch source ↗

11-21-2025 Update

  • - Shiv: Alt fire knockback reduced by 10%
  • - Shiv: Alt fire ammo cost increased from 2 to 3
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow Rage Damage Bonus reduced from 17% to 15%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow T2 Rage Damage bonus reduced from 8% to 6%
  • - Shiv: Killing Blow Rage state now causes your alt fire knockback to push you a little further
  • - Shiv: Fixed some bugs with Barriers and Spirit Damage Scaling (fixes other cases as well)
Original patch source ↗

Map Rework Update

  • - Slice and Dice is no longer cancellable.
  • - Updated vo - remastering pass, no new content.
  • - Killing Blow debuff indicator effect revisions to remove arrow and add a brief debuff effect on the victim.
Original patch source ↗