Holliday stats, build items and patch history. Balance changes have receipts here.
Win rate
48.11%
Wins ÷ observed selections
Pick share
1.87%
Share of all hero selections
Observed selections
438,724
30 complete UTC days
Next nerf odds · estimate
6%
Uncalibrated entertainment model
Sample: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-16 UTC · Normal mode, ranked + unranked, all ranks. Retrieved . Deadlock API. Observed matches only; not the entire player population. Refreshes hourly; upstream item statistics may be cached for six hours.
Daily performance
Holliday win-rate trend
0–100%09-17 → 10-16
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09-17: 48.04% · 2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z
09-18: 48.32% · 2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z
09-19: 47.94% · 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z
09-20: 47.05% · 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z
09-21: 47.40% · 2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z
09-22: 46.82% · 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z
09-23: 47.50% · 2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z
09-24: 47.89% · 2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z
09-25: 47.99% · 2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z
09-26: 47.53% · 2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z
09-27: 48.18% · 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z
09-28: 46.85% · 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z
09-29: 46.78% · 2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z
09-30: 46.77% · 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
10-01: 47.81% · 2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z
10-02: 48.12% · 2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z
10-03: 48.34% · 2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z
10-04: 47.73% · 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
10-05: 47.49% · 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z
10-06: 48.17% · 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z
10-07: 47.94% · 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z
10-08: 48.37% · 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z
10-09: 48.30% · 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z
10-10: 49.28% · 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z
10-11: 49.31% · 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z
10-12: 48.79% · 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z
10-13: 48.93% · 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z
10-14: 50.21% · 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
10-15: 49.11% · 2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z
10-16: 46.33% · 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z
Source: Deadlock API · hero-stats, UTC day
Estimate, not insider information
Will Holliday get nerfed?
Our next-balance-patch estimate increases with above-average win rate and pick share. It has not been calibrated against historical nerfs and is not a reliable forecast of Valve’s decisions.
Inputs: win 48.11%, pick share 1.87%. Minimum 1,000 observations; otherwise no reading. Patch history below is evidence, not an input to the estimate.
Build research
Holliday build items
Most observed item purchases on Holliday, not a recommended purchase order. Item win rates are affected by game length, upgrade paths and who can afford the item.
Every explicitly attributed change found in the 26 available archive entries. This is the available archive, not a claim of complete lifetime coverage. Linked-only announcements may omit change text.
- Holliday: Powder Keg now does half its damage immediately and half over 3s as a damage over time burn (same overall damage, multiple instances stack)
- Powder Keg: Fixed being able to spawn barrels on the other side of thin walls.
- Bounce Pad: Fixed a bug where bounce pads might force you back to the ground after use.
- Spirit Lasso: Holliday now plays VO when she lands a hit with her lasso as opposed to when she casts her lasso (so she won't say "shoot them" if she didn't actually grab anyone).