Deadlock / Balance intelligence

Deadlock Holliday

Holliday stats, build items and patch history. Balance changes have receipts here.

Win rate

48.11%

Wins ÷ observed selections

Pick share

1.87%

Share of all hero selections

Observed selections

438,724

30 complete UTC days

Next nerf odds · estimate

6%

Uncalibrated entertainment model

Sample: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-16 UTC · Normal mode, ranked + unranked, all ranks. Retrieved . Deadlock API. Observed matches only; not the entire player population. Refreshes hourly; upstream item statistics may be cached for six hours.

Daily performance

Holliday win-rate trend

0–100%09-17 → 10-16
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
Read chart data
  • 09-17: 48.04% · 2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-18: 48.32% · 2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-19: 47.94% · 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-20: 47.05% · 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-21: 47.40% · 2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-22: 46.82% · 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-23: 47.50% · 2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-24: 47.89% · 2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-25: 47.99% · 2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-26: 47.53% · 2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-27: 48.18% · 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-28: 46.85% · 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-29: 46.78% · 2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-30: 46.77% · 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-01: 47.81% · 2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-02: 48.12% · 2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-03: 48.34% · 2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-04: 47.73% · 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-05: 47.49% · 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-06: 48.17% · 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-07: 47.94% · 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-08: 48.37% · 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-09: 48.30% · 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-10: 49.28% · 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-11: 49.31% · 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-12: 48.79% · 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-13: 48.93% · 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-14: 50.21% · 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-15: 49.11% · 2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-16: 46.33% · 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z

Source: Deadlock API · hero-stats, UTC day

Estimate, not insider information

Will Holliday get nerfed?

Our next-balance-patch estimate increases with above-average win rate and pick share. It has not been calibrated against historical nerfs and is not a reliable forecast of Valve’s decisions.

z = −2.2 + 0.35 × (win% − 50) + 0.08 × pick share%
estimate = round(100 ÷ (1 + exp(−z)))

Inputs: win 48.11%, pick share 1.87%. Minimum 1,000 observations; otherwise no reading. Patch history below is evidence, not an input to the estimate.

Build research

Holliday build items

Most observed item purchases on Holliday, not a recommended purchase order. Item win rates are affected by game length, upgrade paths and who can afford the item.

ItemWin rateObservations
Extra Charge48.17%423,524
Rapid Recharge48.53%401,907
Stamina Mastery49.17%358,714
Extra Stamina48.35%312,855
Extra Spirit48.13%300,487
Headshot Booster47.97%273,632
Recharging Rush48.36%273,219
Tankbuster48.95%245,828

The paper trail

Holliday patch history

Every explicitly attributed change found in the 26 available archive entries. This is the available archive, not a claim of complete lifetime coverage. Linked-only announcements may omit change text.

Minor Update - 09-16-2026

  • - Holliday: Health per boon increased from 41 to 43
  • - Holliday: Crackshot T2 now also applies -6% Bullet Resistance for 5s
  • - Holliday: Lasso duration extention by Bounce Pad increased from +1s to +1.25s
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 06-30-2026

  • - Holliday: Powder Keg velocity reduced slightly
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg charge delay increased from 7s to 7.5s
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg spirit scaling reduced from 1.4 to 1.2
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg T3 reduced from +100 Damage to +80
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 06-11-2026

  • - Holliday: Powder Keg now has an alt cast behavior to place the barrel at her feet
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg various improvements to the launch angles, velocities and feel of casting
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg now starts with 2 charges
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg Charge Time increased from 3.5s to 7s
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg spirit scaling reduced from 1.6 to 1.4
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg T2 changed from "+58 Damage" to "+1 Charge"
  • - Holliday: Powder Keg T3 changed from "+2 Charges and +0.4s Displacement" to "+100 Damage, +0.5 Spirit Scaling and -5s Charge Time"
  • - Holliday: Fixed various issues with placing bounce pad on elevated areas
  • - Holliday: Bounce Pad landing radius reduced from 12m to 9m
  • - Holliday: Bounce Pad T3 changed from "+68 Stomp Damage and Improved Spirit Scaling" to "+0.7s Stomp Stun" (only triggers from Holliday)
Original patch source ↗

11-21-2025 Update

  • - Holliday: Base regen reduced from 2.0 to 1.0
  • - Holliday: Base bullet growth reduced from 1.23 to 1.04
  • - Holliday: Base damage reduced from 22 to 18
  • - Holliday: Bounce Pad damage reduced from 80 to 60
  • - Holliday: Fixed a bug where you could get extra speed/distance with dash jump/bounce pad timing
Original patch source ↗

Shop Rework Update

  • - Powder Keg: Fixed being able to spawn barrels on the other side of thin walls.
  • - Bounce Pad: Fixed a bug where bounce pads might force you back to the ground after use.
  • - Spirit Lasso: Holliday now plays VO when she lands a hit with her lasso as opposed to when she casts her lasso (so she won't say "shoot them" if she didn't actually grab anyone).
Original patch source ↗

Map Rework Update

  • - Holliday: Bounce Pad damage reduced from 120 to 90.
  • - Holliday: Bounce Pad T3 stun duration reduced from +1.25s to +1s.
  • - Holliday: Spirit Lasso damage reduced from 120 to 90.
  • - Superior Stamina: No longer gives 7% fire rate.
  • - Spirit Lasso now has a cast bar on the hud during wind-up.
  • - New in-air looping sound added to the first time she uses a bounce pad.
  • - Updated vo - some new content, including increased variety of Crackshot lines.
Original patch source ↗