Deadlock / Balance intelligence

Deadlock Graves

Graves stats, build items and patch history. Balance changes have receipts here.

Win rate

56.63%

Wins ÷ observed selections

Pick share

3.44%

Share of all hero selections

Observed selections

811,137

30 complete UTC days

Next nerf odds · estimate

60%

Uncalibrated entertainment model

Sample: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-16 UTC · Normal mode, ranked + unranked, all ranks. Retrieved . Deadlock API. Observed matches only; not the entire player population. Refreshes hourly; upstream item statistics may be cached for six hours.

Daily performance

Graves win-rate trend

0–100%09-17 → 10-16
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
Read chart data
  • 09-17: 56.49% · 2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-18: 56.46% · 2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-19: 57.19% · 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-20: 57.19% · 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-21: 57.24% · 2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-22: 57.34% · 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-23: 57.02% · 2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-24: 56.54% · 2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-25: 56.48% · 2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-26: 56.84% · 2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-27: 56.48% · 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-28: 56.76% · 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-29: 57.09% · 2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-30: 56.21% · 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-01: 56.46% · 2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-02: 56.79% · 2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-03: 56.62% · 2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-04: 56.08% · 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-05: 56.24% · 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-06: 56.19% · 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-07: 56.25% · 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-08: 55.70% · 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-09: 55.79% · 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-10: 56.64% · 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-11: 56.98% · 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-12: 56.14% · 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-13: 56.45% · 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-14: 57.76% · 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-15: 57.27% · 2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-16: 57.77% · 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z

Source: Deadlock API · hero-stats, UTC day

Estimate, not insider information

Will Graves get nerfed?

Our next-balance-patch estimate increases with above-average win rate and pick share. It has not been calibrated against historical nerfs and is not a reliable forecast of Valve’s decisions.

z = −2.2 + 0.35 × (win% − 50) + 0.08 × pick share%
estimate = round(100 ÷ (1 + exp(−z)))

Inputs: win 56.63%, pick share 3.44%. Minimum 1,000 observations; otherwise no reading. Patch history below is evidence, not an input to the estimate.

Build research

Graves build items

Most observed item purchases on Graves, not a recommended purchase order. Item win rates are affected by game length, upgrade paths and who can afford the item.

ItemWin rateObservations
Restorative Shot56.69%644,665
Extra Stamina56.90%636,371
Improved Spirit57.23%588,349
Extra Spirit56.93%552,016
Arcane Surge57.18%440,828
Boundless Spirit59.09%415,619
Superior Duration57.81%412,265
Mystic Shot57.99%412,244

The paper trail

Graves patch history

Every explicitly attributed change found in the 26 available archive entries. This is the available archive, not a claim of complete lifetime coverage. Linked-only announcements may omit change text.

Minor Update - 07-09-2026

  • - Graves: Jar of Dead T1 heal spirit scaling increased from 0.1 to 0.16
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead now build up faster from neutral creeps
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands immobilize duration reduced from 1.25s to 1s
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands T3 cooldown increased from -10s to -14s
  • - Graves: Essence Theft now procs from melee hits
  • - Graves: Essence Theft T3 now also increases Max Steal Targets from 3 to 4
  • - Graves: Borrowed Decree T1 changed from "-15s Cooldown" to "-15s Cooldown and +25% Ghoul Speed"
  • - Graves: Borrowed Decree T2 changed from "+25% Ghoul Speed and +10s Duration" to "-0.3s Time to Spawn and +10s Duration"
Original patch source ↗

Minor Update - 06-11-2026

  • - Graves: Jar of Dead collection rate reduced by 20% (takes longer to gain a charge)
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead damage reduced from 17+0.27 to 16+0.25
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead bounty increased from 5+0.25/boon to 7+0.5/boon
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands T3 Immobilize duration reduced from +1s to +0.75s
Original patch source ↗

Gameplay Update - 05-22-2026

  • - Graves: Sprint speed increased from 1.6 to 2.2
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands now spawns a ghoul in the base ability (T3 still increases it by 1)
  • - Graves: Updated dash ranges for Deadheads to be calculated from the center of Graves when they are following her
  • - Graves: Fixed Fire Rate buffs for Deadheads not being applied to their next attack, but only on subsequent attacks
  • - Graves: Fixed Deadheads being unable to dash through veils
  • - Graves: Fixed Deadheads being unable to dash to targets at the very end of your attack range when they are in follow mode
  • - Graves: Fixed Deadhead's damage taken from bullets being unaffected by fall-off
  • - Graves: Added 0.1s buffer duration for Deadheads losing line-of-sight before they stop following an enemy
  • - Graves: Fixed Deadheads becoming inactive if Graves dies while they are following her
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead spirit scaling reduced from 0.35 to 0.31 (they are better at dealing damage now)
  • - Graves: Increased speed & acceleration of Deadheads only when they are following Graves - doesn't affect in-combat
  • - Graves: Fixed certain projectiles (i.e Gray Talon's Bird) colliding with Deadheads
  • - Graves: Update Grave's melee to also set the dash target for Deadheads
  • - Graves: Bullet damage and growth reduced by -10%
Original patch source ↗

Gameplay Update - 03-06-2026

  • - Graves: Grasping Hands is now set up to work through proper alternate cast methods and be more responsive
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands Immobilize duration reduced from 1.5s to 1.25s
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands cooldown reduced from 38s to 34s
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands T2 changed from "+0.75s Immobilize Duration" to "+90 Damage and +10m Wall Length"
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands T3 changed from "+15m Wall Length and -10s Cooldown" to "+1s Immobilize Duration and -12s Cooldown"
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead spirit scaling increased from 0.25 to 0.35
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead health per boon increased from 1 to 1.3
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead fixed colliding with the world sometimes
  • - Graves: Jar of Dead T2 now increases duration by +4s
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands deploy time reduced from 0.7s to 0.6s
  • - Graves: Grasping Hands T3 changed from "+1s Immobilize and -12s Cooldown" to "+1s Immobilize and +2 Ghouls Summoned"
  • - Graves: Essence Theft T3 fixed to latch onto targets nearby more readily
  • - Graves: Borrowed Decree now summons 2 Ghouls on cast
  • - Graves: Borrowed Decree T3 no longer summons 3 Ghouls on cast
  • - Graves: Borrowed Decree T3 increased from +5% Current Health to +6%
Original patch source ↗