Deadlock / Balance intelligence

Deadlock Sinclair

Sinclair stats, build items and patch history. Balance changes have receipts here.

Win rate

45.84%

Wins ÷ observed selections

Pick share

1.35%

Share of all hero selections

Observed selections

315,644

30 complete UTC days

Next nerf odds · estimate

3%

Uncalibrated entertainment model

Sample: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-16 UTC · Normal mode, ranked + unranked, all ranks. Retrieved . Deadlock API. Observed matches only; not the entire player population. Refreshes hourly; upstream item statistics may be cached for six hours.

Daily performance

Sinclair win-rate trend

0–100%09-17 → 10-16
Inspect the recordHover or focus for values · tap to pin · Esc to clear
Read chart data
  • 09-17: 44.05% · 2026-09-17T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-18: 43.91% · 2026-09-18T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-19: 44.25% · 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-20: 43.98% · 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-21: 43.71% · 2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-22: 44.06% · 2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-23: 43.94% · 2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-24: 43.25% · 2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-25: 43.72% · 2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-26: 44.27% · 2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-27: 43.78% · 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-28: 43.33% · 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-29: 44.49% · 2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z
  • 09-30: 45.85% · 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-01: 46.29% · 2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-02: 46.31% · 2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-03: 49.92% · 2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-04: 50.51% · 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-05: 50.60% · 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-06: 44.54% · 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-07: 44.47% · 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-08: 44.49% · 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-09: 45.39% · 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-10: 45.55% · 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-11: 46.23% · 2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-12: 44.94% · 2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-13: 45.48% · 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-14: 44.90% · 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-15: 45.90% · 2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z
  • 10-16: 44.15% · 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z

Source: Deadlock API · hero-stats, UTC day

Estimate, not insider information

Will Sinclair get nerfed?

Our next-balance-patch estimate increases with above-average win rate and pick share. It has not been calibrated against historical nerfs and is not a reliable forecast of Valve’s decisions.

z = −2.2 + 0.35 × (win% − 50) + 0.08 × pick share%
estimate = round(100 ÷ (1 + exp(−z)))

Inputs: win 45.84%, pick share 1.35%. Minimum 1,000 observations; otherwise no reading. Patch history below is evidence, not an input to the estimate.

Build research

Sinclair build items

Most observed item purchases on Sinclair, not a recommended purchase order. Item win rates are affected by game length, upgrade paths and who can afford the item.

ItemWin rateObservations
Greater Expansion47.07%260,016
Mystic Expansion46.00%253,833
Improved Spirit45.78%245,928
Extra Charge45.59%245,220
Rapid Recharge45.83%232,636
Extra Spirit45.69%229,827
Superior Duration47.71%229,146
Boundless Spirit49.07%195,633

The paper trail

Sinclair patch history

Every explicitly attributed change found in the 26 available archive entries. This is the available archive, not a claim of complete lifetime coverage. Linked-only announcements may omit change text.

Minor Update - 10-05-2026

  • - Sinclair: Base HP Regen reduced from 2 to 1
  • - Sinclair: Gun - Falloff range reduced from 25-61 to 20-60
  • - Sinclair: Gun - Reduced bullet base damage from 17.76 to 16.5
  • - Sinclair: Vexing Bolt - Now does half damage to objectives
  • - Sinclair: Spectral Assistant - Gun falloff range reduced from 25-61 to 20-60
  • - Sinclair: Rabbit Hex - Radius reduced from 6.5m to 6m
  • - Sinclair: Rabbit Hex - T3 reduced from +3m Radius to +2m
  • - Sinclair: Audience Participation - Copy duration reduced from 12s to 9s
  • - Sinclair: Audience Participation - Copied cooldown increased from 40% to 60%
Original patch source ↗

11-21-2025 Update

  • - Sinclair: Health reduced from 700 to 650
  • - Sinclair: Regen reduced from 3 to 2
  • - Sinclair: Spectral Assistant total swaps allowed increased from 1 to 2
  • - Sinclair: Audience Participation cooldown reduced from 50% to 40%
Original patch source ↗

Shop Rework Update

  • - Vexing Bolt: Redirect telegraphs correctly on vertical geometry.
  • - Rabbit Hex: Fixed a bug where Henry and Savannah wouldn't play VO when turning enemies into rabbits.
Original patch source ↗

Map Rework Update

  • - Updated model with new wand weapon.
  • - Moved to a new animation set.
  • - Spectral Assistant now has updated vfx.
  • - Spectral Assistant's bullets updated to come out of the turret's muzzle position.
  • - Fixed Sinclair keeping some passive bonuses from stolen ultimates after they've been used.
  • - Fixed enemy Mo & Krill getting buffs from copied ult.
  • - Fixed issue if both Sinclair and enemy Mo & Krill are using their ultimates at the same time (when one ended, both would end).
  • - Added warning sound for Sinclair's rabbit hex when placed.
  • - Don't show stat changes for abilities that are stolen from using ultimate when previewing items in the shop.
  • - Fixed Spectral Assistant firing effects to not track with projectile.
  • - Increased volume of Vexing Bolt projectile loop and redirect.
  • - Vexing bolt redirect telegraph now displays on vertical geometry.
Original patch source ↗